Work in progress. funded.events is launching soon, so accounts and challenges are paused for now.

Politics
255-259
Order book · Yes
No open positions
Positions you open show up here with live P&L.
Government shutdown by...?40%December 31
Any member-elect blocked from being sworn in on Jan 3, 2027?8.5%
How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?37%1
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?15%
Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?96%
Amanda Batula and West Wilson breakup before 2027? 55%